"So, I think that's what I'm watching most.". That number had fallen to 9 percent in Marquette's Aug. 17 poll. GOP Sen. Ron Johnson has won re-election to a third term in Wisconsin, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democrat Mandela Barnes. A Fox News survey of. Legal Statement. Only 1 percent of likely voters are still undecided in the gubernatorial race, according to the poll, which surveyed 652 likely voters in Wisconsin from Oct. 3 to Oct. 9 and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. Marquette Law School defines "likely voters" as those "who say they are certain to vote or who say they have already voted. One percent of respondents said they would vote for neither candidate and 1% said they were undecided. A new poll released Wednesday by Marquette University Law School shows 49 percent of voters support Johnson's reelection to a third term. In the states race for governor, Democratic Gov. Wisconsins gubernatorial race, meanwhile, has tightened: 47 percent of likely voters support incumbent Democratic Gov. He said residents should also expect "a new low" in terms of how negative campaign ads will be this election cycle. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., poses for photos with supporters at a election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. In response, Johnson said he would like to see Wisconsin's 1849 abortion ban changed to allow exemptions for instances of rape and incest. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! After midnight, the gap between Barnes and Johnson closed slightly and the audience in Neenah became less energetic. The U.S. Senate race in the battleground state of Wisconsin is among closely watched contests on the national scene as Republicans hoped to gain seats in the U.S. House and Senate. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson is running for reelection against Democratic Lt. Gov. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report has rated the battleground Senate race as a toss-up, and other recent polling has shown the two candidates nearly deadlocked as the midterms draw nearer. Copyright 2023 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. Ron Johnson (R-WI) and his Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. New York City Mayor Dismisses Separation Of Church And State,Despite his vow to uphold the U.S. Constitution, Eric Adams said he "can't separate" his Christian beliefs from his public duties. The lieutenant governor joined supporters in Milwaukee at noon to make remarks on the U.S. Senate race. In the June poll released by Marquette Law School testing each candidate's strength against Johnson, Barnes hits or approaches those benchmarks, while Lasry falls far short of the numbers needed . For questions or comments, contact WPRs Audience Services at 1-800-747-7444, email listener@wpr.org or use our Listener Feedback form. Barnes, who in 2018 was elected as lieutenant governor on a ticket with Democratic Gov. Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. Republican gubernatorial nominee Tim Michels led Democratic Gov. That's still slightly higher than the 36 percent who view Johnson favorably. But Evers' approval rating remains above water. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. ", Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., speaks to supporters after arriving at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. ", In response to the August polls, a spokesperson for Barnes' campaign said in a statement that the results show that "Wisconsin voters know how Ron Johnson has spent his decade-plus in office enriching himself and his wealthy donors on the backs of their hard work.". Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. Supporters wait for Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., to speak at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. That ruling meant Wisconsins near-total abortion ban from 1849 went into effect over the summer. The Associated Press called the race for Johnson at 11:46 a.m. Wednesday as the senator led Barnes by 27,374 votes. ", Lee said the value of political polling in Wisconsin has become less predictable as the state has become more "deep purple.". Johnson was one of Trump's most ardent legislative supporters of the 2017 tax reform bill, which overhauled the tax code and repealed the Affordable Care Act's individual mandate. The man leading the charge to unseat Johnson this year is the polar opposite of the millionaire Boomer conservative: Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes, a 35-year-old Black former community organizer. When Johnson first ran for public office in 2010 and even during his first reelection bid, Chergosky said many voters hadn't yet formed an opinion. I will do everything I can to help make things better for Wisconsinites and to heal and unify our country," he continued. The Republicans in both races hold a lead among independent voters, with Michels squeaking out a 1 point lead (44 percent to Evers 43) and Johnson dominating with 51 percent to Barnes 45. Since then, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors to work for his reelection campaign, and he's spent more than $20,000 for legal consultation with a Wisconsin law firm that assisted former President Donald Trump's efforts to overturn the state's 2020 election results. Market data provided by Factset. Editor's note: WPR's Jonah Chester, Joe Schulz and Andrea Anderson contributed reporting to this story. Paul Ryan says he'll support 'anybody but Trump' in the 2024 presidential contest, Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. He pulled ahead of Barnes in recent polling after a September onslaught of negative ads that painted Barnes as a soft-on-crime, radical liberal. The CBS News/YouGov poll was released on Sunday. The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a two-term incumbent, is leading Barnes, the states lieutenant governor, among likely voters by 6 percentage points 52% to 46%. (Photo by Three Lions/Hulton Archive/Getty Images) OAN Deven BerryhillUPDATED 6:45 PM PT - Monday, February 27, 2023 A well-known British newspaper recently . Lt. Gov. Barnes did not officially concede the race Tuesday night or Wednesday morning as he waited for all the votes to be counted. The 2022 Wisconsin gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Wisconsin.Incumbent Democratic governor Tony Evers won re-election to a 2nd term, defeating Republican nominee, Tim Michels.. As Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes ran for the U.S. Senate in the concurrent election, a new Democratic running mate, state assemblywoman Sara Rodriguez, was nominated in . Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsin's Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. US Congress; Getty; Marianne Ayala/Insider, Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. . National media reports say the red wave that Republicans hoped for in this years midterm elections has been downgraded to more of a trickle. Recent polling shows Lt. Gov. Keep updated on the latest news and information. Barnes enjoyed a 4-point lead over Johnson if the election were held today among all registered voters, and a 2-point lead in favorability. 'The most vulnerable Republican incumbent' The Barnes strategy is to define Johnson as a changed man, someone who went to Washington as an insurgent candidate but then enmeshed himself into the. He said the August polling results from multiple sources show him "this is a very competitive race and Democrats have a compelling opportunity to unseat Ron Johnson.". Fox News's Bradford Betz contributed to this report. President Joe Biden then won Wisconsin in 2020 by the same margin, although he received a slightly higher overall percentage of the votes. "There is no path mathematically for Lt. Gov. Heres how you can help. Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. In 2016, Johnson stunned political observers when he defeated former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold after Marquette polling in late August showed Feingold ahead by 4 percentage points. Anthony Chergosky is an associate professor of political science at UW-La Crosse. Barnes focused much of his closing message hammering Johnson over his opposition to abortion rights an issue Democrats across the country had hoped would energize their base in the midterms following the Supreme Courts reversal of Roe v. Wade in June. 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Johnson has outperformed polls before, but political experts note added challenges this election cycle. He's also been a leading skeptic of COVID-19 vaccines making false or misleading claims about the shots. However, in 2016 former President Donald Trump narrowly carried the state with a margin of about 0.7 percent. Democrats had initially been hopeful that they could oust Johnson, who was increasingly defined by headlines over his statements on issues such as abortion, his perpetuation of dubious and unproven Covid treatments, and his ties to the Jan. 6 riot and fake elector plot to help throw the 2020 election to then-President Donald Trump. GOP Sen. Ron Johnson has won re-election to a third term in Wisconsin, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democrat Mandela Barnes. Currently, Wisconsin voters cannot change laws by direct referendum. The Democrat's lead was just outside the survey's 3 percent margin of error. Among those citing integrity as most important, Barnes won 54% of the vote, while among those saying a candidate who shares values with them is most important, 60% voted for Johnson. Top Sheboygan officials lacked key details on police department sexual harassment probes, State lawmakers try again to allow DACA recipients to become police officers in Wisconsin, Tired of waiting, a Wisconsin island community is directing millions to create its own high-speed internet. A pedestrian walks by a sign in front of a polling location on Tuesday, April 5, 2022, in Milwaukee, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. Follow her on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hausofcait. Lt. Mandela Barnes, a Democrat trailing in Wisconsin polls and getting hammered by an onslaught of negative television advertising in his race to unseat Senator Ron Johnson, a. Sign up for notifications from Insider! Mandela Barnes in the U.S. Senate race, according to two new polls. Notably, Barnes, 35, would become the first Black senator ever elected from Wisconsin if he manages to defeat Johnson, 67. Evers and Michels will face off on Friday for their only televised debate. Wisconsin Mandela Barnes (D) vs. Ron Johnson (R) What do the House races . Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. Meanwhile, 7 percent said they did not know who they would vote for, while 3 percent said they would vote for someone else, would not vote or refused to answer. Democrats won or held onto key seats, including John Fettermans win over Republican Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania. In 2020, now-President Joe Biden won Wisconsin by roughly 20,000 votes out of nearly 3.3 million ballots cast. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. Governor Mandela Barnes, left and US Senator Ron Johnson participate in the senate debate co-hosted by Marquette University and TMJ4 at Marquette University's Varsity Theatre at 1326 W.. Johnson, a former plastics company executive from Oshkosh, was first elected in 2010, defeating former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold in a Republican-wave election. "Barnes is really going to have to execute a strong strategy of defining himself positively and pushing back against an enormous amount of negative campaigning that is already coming his way and will surely only escalate between now and Election Day," Chergosky said. After Barnes won an all but uncontested U.S. Senate Democratic primary in August, the lieutenant governor led Johnson by 7 percentage points in Marquette polling. Getty ; Marianne Ayala/Insider, Sabato 's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for.. 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